The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5%, despite inflation still above its 2% target, apparently politically targeted, has disturbing similarities to the monetary policy mistakes of the late 1970s. Then, under pressure to stimulate economic activity, the Fed eased monetary …
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Guide to protecting your Wealth in case of State Bankruptcy or War
“History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes,” is a popular quote attributed to Mark Twain, and it’s an important idea to think about the current state of the world amid rising geopolitical tensions and worsening economic conditions. About 100 years ago, circumstances were setting the stage for the Great Depression and World War II, …
The price of Gold outperformed stocks in annual return (+27.1%)
Spot gold prices closed Friday 9/20 at a new record high of $2,622 an ounce in New York, extending annual gains for the precious metal to 27.1%. It beat the weak performance of the US S&P 500 index, including dividend reinvestment. Gold is on track for its best performance since 2010, even outpacing 2020’s 25.1% …
Cutting Interest rates is a path full of Landmines
In a reduction in policy interest rates – for the first time in 4 years – by 50 bp. in the range of 4.75% to 5%, the Federal Reserve (Fed) advanced, in an attempt to stimulate the growth of the US economy, to satisfy investors and to raise the morale of the Democrats, especially the …
Why ‘easy money’ caused a bubble in tech companies?
From the beginning of 2022, it is known that the main trend in the technology industry was “artificial intelligence”. While the concept isn’t new — AI is the term many believe has been used to describe the way computers work since at least the 1980s — it has once again captured the imagination of the …
Should Trump restore the Gold standard, and if so, how will he go about it?
During his presidential campaign, former President Donald Trump referred extensively to the issue of the inflationary vortex in which the US economy has been involved. In addition, he highlighted the importance of maintaining the dollar as the world’s main reserve currency by pointing to the possibility of the US imposing countermeasures on countries that abandon …
USA: At 1 trillion interest on debt for the first time in history, explosive budget deficit
2024 was the year in which the huge US budget deficit was supposed to have gradually leveled off after two years of crisis. The US was supposed to end the spending spree. All this, on a theoretical level. As of August, the US deficit has exceeded that of 2023. What does the evidence say?
The fake Digital Currency Bubble and the Market Economy
Why according to some “experts”, is there an urgent need to eliminate cash from the economy? The emergence of money and its transformation into a commodity Money appeared because exchanges of goods (countertrade) could not support the market economy. A butcher who wanted to trade his meat for fruit might not be able to find …
Currency War Intensifies – The Cheap Yuan and Why Secondary Sanctions Scared China
The battle that will not decide the outcome of the currency war – Why did China’s banks comply with the sanctions? With the threat of secondary sanctions keenly felt by Chinese banks, Washington appears to be temporarily winning a battle – but in an economic war it is decisively losing. The resilience of the Russian …
Neoliberalism is curtailing – Wars for raw materials and geopolitical power will change the planet
Future developments boil down to this: As long as it is possible to avoid direct hot wars between major powers that have emerged in the emerging geopolitical landscape, the main battlegrounds for geopolitical competition will be economics and technology. Today, all major world powers have started using protectionist measures that were rare during the era …