In April, former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers drew laughs from investors when he said the Fed’s next move might be tightening, not easing. In other words, Mr. Summers is predicting another rate hike, which could cause the markets to… explode. And the truth is that few traders are still laughing. Of course, the likelihood …
Category: Financial Markets
Nvidia one step away from becoming the most valuable company in the world
Investors on Wall Street welcomed Nvidia with a “rally” of more than 9%, as a result of strong demand for the stock after the new, spectacular financial results. Currently, the market capitalization exceeds 2.5 trillion. dollars (passed the $1 trillion mark on 5/30/2023) and ranks Nvidia as the third largest company on Wall Street and …
Slowly and steadily cracks are appearing in the Financial System
The FED raised interest rates above 5%, yet the US economy is not broken. The bond yield curve has been inverted since 2022 and has remained inverted ever since. The lags looked short, with the US economy only briefly causing concern in 2023 when there was a consensus among market participants that a recession would …
From New York and London to Tokyo… all indices at all-time highs
From New York to London to Tokyo, there is one commonality among global stock markets: record highs. Of the world’s 20 largest stock markets, 14 have reached all-time highs recently. The MSCI ACWI index, which tracks developed and emerging markets, is setting one record after another. In the US, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 …
How far or close are we from a painful crash?
The economic cycle we are experiencing is very different from most economic cycles we have experienced to date in our lifetimes. This means that we are in an income-led expansion, but also in an income-led consumption expansion, meaning that citizens in the US are enjoying wage growth of 6% per year, with personal consumption spending …
Stocks in an extreme bubble, everything reminds of the crash of 1929 and 2008
In the American stock market, there are risks of creating a bubble and extreme valuations, at unprecedented levels, due to the over-optimism of the market participants. The barometer index of the US stock market S&P 500 has broken a series of records this year, regaining strength in recent sessions after a weak April. However, the …
The FED is on alert: In case a banking domino of bankruptcies begins
It seems that in the US the time has come for a wave of consolidation in the banking industry. A key program that kept US banks afloat ended last month, and everyone knew what that would mean. By the last Friday of April, the FDIC had taken Republic Bank’s assets and had already arranged to …
Weak development and the Global financial system with multiple problems
After the great financial crisis of 2007 – 2008, regulatory authorities, worldwide, are engaged in continuous efforts to remove, in every way, financial risks. However, mistakes on their part are not lacking. A typical example is the crisis of regional banks in the USA, which was triggered by Silicon Valley Bank, which until that time …
Debt Colonies End: Non-Western Rating Agencies for the Global South
As the BRICS group seeks to develop alternatives to the Western financial system, the creation of credit rating agencies independent of the West could be on the agenda at their annual summit in October. In addition to developing an alternative payment system for trade transactions in local currencies, the Global South’s credit rating agencies could …
Gold: Russia’s Strategic Monetary Superweapon
In history, gold and silver accompanied the rule of different empires. They made possible the financing of conquests, but also the very rule of the conqueror in the vassal regions of the planet. If even today, gold coins, even legal tender, no longer accompany states’ ambitions for geopolitical sovereignty, we see that central banks’ gold …