The money supply (the M2 index) in the US is rising again and persistent inflation is no longer a surprise. Price inflation occurs when the quantity of currency increases significantly above private sector demand. For investors, the worst decision in this currency disaster environment is to invest in government bonds and hold cash. The destruction …
Category: Economics
How will the BRICS common currency affect the USD?
The BRICS alliance has aimed to dethrone the US dollar from the international market and make local currencies dominate. Developing countries are steadily and organizedly seeking to break ties with the US dollar and strengthen their domestic economies by putting their local currencies forward. In this light and from the US side, the change in …
The consumer, the average citizen, continues to suffer…
In April, former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers drew laughs from investors when he said the Fed’s next move might be tightening, not easing. In other words, Mr. Summers is predicting another rate hike, which could cause the markets to… explode. And the truth is that few traders are still laughing. Of course, the likelihood …
Slowly and steadily cracks are appearing in the Financial System
The FED raised interest rates above 5%, yet the US economy is not broken. The bond yield curve has been inverted since 2022 and has remained inverted ever since. The lags looked short, with the US economy only briefly causing concern in 2023 when there was a consensus among market participants that a recession would …
The FED is sacrificing inflation to keep the bond market from collapsing
The US Federal Reserve is in a race to prevent an imminent collapse in the US government bond market. High US debt yields are artificially kept at these levels as the Fed maintains demand by increasing the money supply in the economy – that is, by printing dollars and trying to control the bond yield …
The BRICS prepare a Central Bank and buy gold to support the common currency
China, backed by Russia and South Africa, is planning the final assault on the still-strong dollar by introducing a new currency, to be issued by a BRICS central bank that will combine the strengths of the respective currencies of the five largest economies join the group. At the same time, the replacement of the dollar …
How do Governments cause Inflation and pretend they are fighting the high Cost of living?
In the present analysis, we will show the way in which governments cause inflation and pretend to fight for accuracy. The new announcement of a 2.8% increase in the core personal spending index in the US, the Fed’s preferred measure, gives us the trigger to proceed with the downward analysis. This is the key indicator …
White House pushes FED for rate cuts and blows up 2% inflation target – Trump’s plan
New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said in a politically charged statement on Friday (5/3) that the US central bank needs independence from the White House in order to return inflation to its 2% target. The election cycle threatens the independence of monetary policy as pressure mounts for interest rate cuts to ease lending …
The vicious economic cycle continues
The fact that the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, in the range of 5.25% – 5.5%, was of no concern to US stocks. On the other hand, he continues, the promise not to reduce them and to continue monetary tightening exerted downward pressure on bond yields, with the yield of the 2nd falling by …
Inflation – Recession nightmare returns for stockholders
Journalists in the financial press often speak of a Goldilocks economy (“not too hot, not too cold”) in tribute to the Fed’s finesse in manipulating interest rates. They also use the term “soft landing” because the Fed is supposed to manage to tame inflation without causing a recession. However, these narratives, in fact, have no …