Due to loose monetary policy (quantitative easing), financial assets appreciate without being supported by proper fundamentals while real estate becomes investment vehicles and the lower income strata are excluded from ownership. Despite what the conventional narrative about the economy holds, central bank monetary policies are a form of distortive government intervention in the economy. Their …
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At extreme levels of market valuations (bubbles), everything portends a crash
Lately there has been growing concern over the valuation of the US stock market, warning that it is currently overvalued. This analysis delves into the reasons behind this rating and explores the various factors that contribute to the perceived overvaluation. By trying to understand the basics of what “overvalued” means, we shed light on the …
“Mesoeconomics” or the study of the “middle” space between micro- and macroeconomics
Understanding the network helps to understand the economy. Supply chains have always been seamless and therefore “boring”. Now, however, geopolitical, environmental, social and political upheavals are bringing supply chains to the fore. A consequence of this is the emergence of what is called “mesoeconomics”, or the study of the “middle” space between micro- and macro-economics, …
China cancels US tariffs by devaluing the yuan
China is actively promoting its plan for de-dollarization, promoting the yuan as the dominant currency in world trade, effectively challenging the long-standing dominance of the US dollar. China is trying to promote the yuan as a medium of international trade, implementing the basic principle of de-dollarization – reducing dependence on the dollar. China once relied …
Gold is the only lifeline from inflation – Inflation is implicit government bankruptcy
The money supply (the M2 index) in the US is rising again and persistent inflation is no longer a surprise. Price inflation occurs when the quantity of currency increases significantly above private sector demand. For investors, the worst decision in this currency disaster environment is to invest in government bonds and hold cash. The destruction …
How will the BRICS common currency affect the USD?
The BRICS alliance has aimed to dethrone the US dollar from the international market and make local currencies dominate. Developing countries are steadily and organizedly seeking to break ties with the US dollar and strengthen their domestic economies by putting their local currencies forward. In this light and from the US side, the change in …
The consumer, the average citizen, continues to suffer…
In April, former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers drew laughs from investors when he said the Fed’s next move might be tightening, not easing. In other words, Mr. Summers is predicting another rate hike, which could cause the markets to… explode. And the truth is that few traders are still laughing. Of course, the likelihood …
Nvidia one step away from becoming the most valuable company in the world
Investors on Wall Street welcomed Nvidia with a “rally” of more than 9%, as a result of strong demand for the stock after the new, spectacular financial results. Currently, the market capitalization exceeds 2.5 trillion. dollars (passed the $1 trillion mark on 5/30/2023) and ranks Nvidia as the third largest company on Wall Street and …
Slowly and steadily cracks are appearing in the Financial System
The FED raised interest rates above 5%, yet the US economy is not broken. The bond yield curve has been inverted since 2022 and has remained inverted ever since. The lags looked short, with the US economy only briefly causing concern in 2023 when there was a consensus among market participants that a recession would …
The FED is sacrificing inflation to keep the bond market from collapsing
The US Federal Reserve is in a race to prevent an imminent collapse in the US government bond market. High US debt yields are artificially kept at these levels as the Fed maintains demand by increasing the money supply in the economy – that is, by printing dollars and trying to control the bond yield …