The possibility of a major financial crisis, similar to the one that occurred when Lehman Brothers went bankrupt in 2008, is increasing day by day. An important indicator in this regard is the inverted yield curve of US bonds, which is historically associated with recessions. As an example, it is worth noting that from the …
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Trump Presidency 2.0: The Dollar will be sacrificed to deal with the huge Public Debt
The US must abandon its “mammoth deficits” if it is to keep US debt levels manageable for decades to come. The over-indebted US economy can no longer bear, in the context of geopolitical realignments, to support the “excessive monetary privilege” of the dollar, and in order for the new presidency of Donald Trump not to …
“Black Swans” warn us of a strong Crash in the Stock markets in mid-autumn 2024
The evidence may point to a significant degree of parallelism between today and the conditions that caused the catastrophic crash of the Great Depression in 1929, and while trying to predict the exact timing of a recession is a challenging but also a relatively fool’s errand, taking steps to protect it’s a wise move. Will …
“Monetary policy” – the tool for elites to win by controlling the Economy
In the cases over the decades where Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) has been applied, not a few have been spent reacting to the relevant policies of governments and central banks, focusing on the mix of options and the efficiency they will bring to the economy. There is also a minority, however, who have targeted monetary …
After Inflation, the beginning of Recession or Stagflation?
The inflation phenomenon continues to weaken recently (at 2.5% in June in the Eurozone) although as has been emphasized several times this does not mean that prices are falling. Accuracy remains a “noose” for incomes, a condition that can lead to a parallel weakening of economic activity and investment and ultimately to recession. The odds …
BRICS build wheat market and threaten the West
The global South’s drive to de-dollarize global trade doesn’t just involve the oil or energy goods sector – after Saudi Arabia’s commitment to trade energy goods in US currency (the well-known petrodollar) ends. As these states are world leaders in the commodity market, they are attempting to expand the economic fields in which transactions will …
Why is the Russian Economy growing continuously during the War in Ukraine?
The Russian economy during the years of the war in Ukraine “runs like a bullet”, according to the findings of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development EBRD. The World Economic Outlook of the IMF points out that Russia is expected to grow in 2024 faster than all advanced economies, in particular the Russian economy …
New world order is coming with Cryptocurrencies, Gold and BRICS
More and more are sounding the alarm about the exploding US national debt, now approaching $35 trillion, or 120% of GDP. Interest payments have become the biggest burden on the national budget, followed by defense spending and transfer payments. In early June, former US House Speaker Paul Ryan proposed that the US government accept stablecoins, …
Target 2 is a nightmare for France and other EU member countries
In France, President Emmanuel Macron accuses Lepen and the right or other far-right that if he comes to power – which is a given, based on the opinion polls so far it reaches 35% – that chaos will be caused in the French debt. They said the same about Italy but they say nothing about …
We are nearing the End of the Debt Supercycle
“The 2024 deficit will represent 7% of US gross domestic product while the 2034 deficit will be 6.9% of GDP,” the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) wrote in its latest report. This makes it easy: 7% over a decade roughly doubles the US debt. The CBO now projects this year’s deficit at $2 trillion, a …