In a reduction in policy interest rates – for the first time in 4 years – by 50 bp. in the range of 4.75% to 5%, the Federal Reserve (Fed) advanced, in an attempt to stimulate the growth of the US economy, to satisfy investors and to raise the morale of the Democrats, especially the …
Tag: stockmarkets
“Black Swans” warn us of a strong Crash in the Stock markets in mid-autumn 2024
The evidence may point to a significant degree of parallelism between today and the conditions that caused the catastrophic crash of the Great Depression in 1929, and while trying to predict the exact timing of a recession is a challenging but also a relatively fool’s errand, taking steps to protect it’s a wise move. Will …
At extreme levels of market valuations (bubbles), everything portends a crash
Lately there has been growing concern over the valuation of the US stock market, warning that it is currently overvalued. This analysis delves into the reasons behind this rating and explores the various factors that contribute to the perceived overvaluation. By trying to understand the basics of what “overvalued” means, we shed light on the …
From New York and London to Tokyo… all indices at all-time highs
From New York to London to Tokyo, there is one commonality among global stock markets: record highs. Of the world’s 20 largest stock markets, 14 have reached all-time highs recently. The MSCI ACWI index, which tracks developed and emerging markets, is setting one record after another. In the US, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 …
Stocks in an extreme bubble, everything reminds of the crash of 1929 and 2008
In the American stock market, there are risks of creating a bubble and extreme valuations, at unprecedented levels, due to the over-optimism of the market participants. The barometer index of the US stock market S&P 500 has broken a series of records this year, regaining strength in recent sessions after a weak April. However, the …
Wall Street’s AI bubble is growing and it’s about to burst
Everyone knows and says there is a bubble on Wall Street associated with artificial intelligence and its high-tech stocks, but no one knows how much longer it will grow or when it will burst. For example, many believe that the stock of Nvidia Corp. is a bubble. This is based on the fact that the …
What do we expect about Stocks, Bonds and Gold for 2024?
Companies faced the spike in inflation to boost their profit margins – a phenomenon known as greed inflation. As a result, consumer prices have probably risen more than warranted, with cash hoards built up thanks to the expansionary fiscal policy of governments around the world during the pandemic making consumers less price-sensitive. Margins rise again …
When are Real values produced vs the “Bubbles” of Casino Capitalism
In a complex juncture where few wise people “read” the real facts of economies, it is time to face structural questions: Many people believe – and on the surface they are not wrong – that a general increase in stock prices is an important factor in the strength of an economy. However, this is an …