The cracks in this dark corner of the $1.8 trillion financial markets have clear similarities to the subprime crisis. Liquidity is scarce or even disappearing. The lack of transparency around how assets are valued seems to be fueling investor concerns and leading to funds failing to return capital to investors. This in turn has raised …
Tag: stagflation
Trade war is coming, consumer confidence is leaving – ECB survey
One doesn’t have to be a big economist to conclude that as concerns about geopolitical tensions intensify, consumer confidence is being hit harder. A striking example is what is happening in the US, where the trade war declared by Trump has dragged consumer confidence into tatters. Specifically, based on a new measurement by the University …
After Inflation, the beginning of Recession or Stagflation?
The inflation phenomenon continues to weaken recently (at 2.5% in June in the Eurozone) although as has been emphasized several times this does not mean that prices are falling. Accuracy remains a “noose” for incomes, a condition that can lead to a parallel weakening of economic activity and investment and ultimately to recession. The odds …
Inflation – Recession nightmare returns for stockholders
Journalists in the financial press often speak of a Goldilocks economy (“not too hot, not too cold”) in tribute to the Fed’s finesse in manipulating interest rates. They also use the term “soft landing” because the Fed is supposed to manage to tame inflation without causing a recession. However, these narratives, in fact, have no …
How Can Fiscal Policy Tackle Stagflation?
Economic policy generally has many objectives. To increase income and employment, to keep prices stable, to ensure the sustainability of public finances, to provide adequate liquidity conditions and so on. Usually these goals relate to reactions to economic disturbances, such as an economic crisis, a pandemic, a war, or anything that threatens the financial well-being …
Stagnant Inflation Management
In recent times, the global economy has entered a strong inflation component based on ever-increasing energy and food prices. If the causes of price increases are limited to the region of Europe, and given that the EU is purely an importer of energy, one could argue that this is an “imported inflation” over which monetary …
The German Economy Is Heading for a New Recession
The scenario of stagnant inflation in the German economy is visible, which is the worst possible at this time. Extremely worrying are the data for the German economy for the fourth quarter of 2021. In fact, the forecast of Trust Economics (https://trusteconomics.eu) is that, if the problem of the pandemic continues and Q22022 the next …