As Donald Trump tries to weaken the dollar to boost the US economy and manufacturing, the Japanese yen is developing safe-haven behavior faster than Tokyo policymakers would like – causing monetary policy turmoil in Asia’s second-largest economy. The extent to which the US president’s trade war is hurting confidence in dollar-denominated assets can be seen …
Tag: Japan
Tariffs and the $3 trillion held by Asian central banks that make them punishers in the US bond market
Great turmoil, great situation – to use a phrase from former Chinese President Mao Zedong to sum up the trade war declared by President Trump. The dollar extended its biggest plunge in three years on Friday, April 11, after China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 125% from 84%, a step up in tensions that …
A Global financial crisis is coming from Japan
The “Japan shock” that has the potential to destroy stocks worldwide is just getting started, and investors should start preparing for it. Notably, President Trump welcomed UK Prime Minister Starmer to the White House. However, the more pressing issue they probably didn’t discuss is that both the US and the UK are facing what I …
The Japanese sold off 41 billion of Eurozone debt in 6 months, leading to a generalized sell-off in bonds
Japanese investors have sold off eurozone government debt at the fastest pace in a decade, suggesting that the move by one of the major holders of European debt could lead to a sharp sell-off in the market. Gross online sales by Japanese buyers rose to 41 billion euros in the six months to November, the …
All roads lead to inflation – USA & EU on Japan’s path
The recent 50 basis point rise in long-term bond yields began the day after the Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points (base rate 4.75% to 5%). Some of the bond bears argue that the Fed will reignite inflation by cutting interest rates as the economy remains strong. Others fear that fiscal deficits are …
From New York and London to Tokyo… all indices at all-time highs
From New York to London to Tokyo, there is one commonality among global stock markets: record highs. Of the world’s 20 largest stock markets, 14 have reached all-time highs recently. The MSCI ACWI index, which tracks developed and emerging markets, is setting one record after another. In the US, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 …
The Sustainable Solution for the Eurozone (EU) Economy – Part I
The Eurozone economy in recent years has faced the problem of permanent deflation. The deflation is occurred as a result of the low levels of overall demand in the economy. The low levels of global demand in addition to the Eurozone overall demand also characterize the global economy (2019 & Q1 2020). As a result …
Trust Economics Forecast for 2020
The end of 2019 varied the forecasts and found international bond and equity markets strong and higher price levels than at the beginning of 2020. The U.S. stock market index S&P 500 rose > 28,5%. Germany’s DAX stock market index rose > 26,15%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock market index rose > 19,02%. China’s SSBC stock …