The Global Debt Crisis is just around the corner

The bond market and dollar index have begun to sensitize to the potential implications of another Trump victory. The ten-year yield has increased by 55 bp. after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in mid-September. Americans who have been waiting for rate cuts are once again battling with their mortgage rates starting with the digit …

Cutting interest rates early will cause hyperinflation

The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5%, despite inflation still above its 2% target, apparently politically targeted, has disturbing similarities to the monetary policy mistakes of the late 1970s. Then, under pressure to stimulate economic activity, the Fed eased monetary …

China’s Central Bank (POBC) can cause Global hyperinflation

With all the economic news focus on the Federa Reserve and the Bank of Japan, it’s easy to miss where the most important monetary decisions will take place this year: It’s Beijing. Certainly, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said on Wednesday July 31 that important decisions are coming. A rate cut in September is “on the …

Hyperinflation, Dollarization and the Giant Growth of the Turkish Economy

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has fired three governors of the Turkish Central Bank since mid-2019 and is fighting high interest rates in every possible way, insisting on applying low interest rates to the Turkish economy to boost growth and investment. Its purpose is to avoid a giant tsunami of bankruptcies for both businesses and …

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