A few days ago, the IMF published a study on the impact of inflation on public finances (“The Effects of Inflation on Public Finances“, May 5, 2023). The Study is based on the data of the member countries of the Fund from 1962 to the present day and comes to two interesting findings: 1. Regarding …
Tag: GDP
Greece Returns Rapidly to the Era of Financial Support Packages
Greece, a member-country of the Eurozone/EU with 388 billion euros in public debt and a deindustrialized economy, is in danger of paying dearly for the EU sanctions imposed on Russia. The debt of the General Government of Greece, despite being sustainable in the medium term, despite being supported by the ECB and despite the fact …
The South Eurozone on the red line due to the Explosion of Borrowing Costs
Due to rising global and mainly European inflation, interest rates are generally rising as central banks fight inflation and this is certainly not a time when investors want to increase their exposure to government bonds. Trust Economics points out that Greece’s public debt (Eurozone / EU country) remains viable despite rising borrowing costs and estimates …
The German Economy Is Heading for a New Recession
The scenario of stagnant inflation in the German economy is visible, which is the worst possible at this time. Extremely worrying are the data for the German economy for the fourth quarter of 2021. In fact, the forecast of Trust Economics (https://trusteconomics.eu) is that, if the problem of the pandemic continues and Q22022 the next …
Inflation Losses
Citizens of both the US and the EU have learned to live, in recent months, with the resurgence of the phenomenon of inflation that has re-emerged sharply since it was last recorded in early 2011. Adapting to the new reality should be done immediately, as the impact on disposable income is already here as well …
Persistent High Inflation Prices Reflect Changes in the Real Economy
The inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment has been shown to be temporary-short-term and does not stem from inflation per se, but from unexpected inflation, which contributes to maintaining inflation. By the fact that inflation can contribute to the development of an economy, we mean the positive relationship between rising inflation, that is, the increase …
Eurozone Economy Returns to Strong Growth Trajectory but Still Has Obstacles to Overcome
The increased spending of European consumers by the increased liquidity that had accumulated due to the continuous economic shutdowns and lockdowns, gave a dynamic impetus to the field of retail, catering, and steadily increased factory production which has not yet reached pre-pandemic levels. As a result of these factors, Eurostat released data on Eurozone GDP, …
Increase in Total Demand or Recurrence of Inflation in the U.S.
US President Joe Biden, to pull the US economy out of recession, triggered by repeated economic shutdowns and social distancing in 2020 aimed at tackling the Covid-19 pandemic, has promised to promote a giant fiscal support package to boost activity in the economy equal to 9% of US GDP. The Weak overall demand in the …
Is it Time for the Eurozone/EU to Issue A Perpetual Bond?
Global debt has reached 365% of world annual GDP, an amount close to $280trillion and surely no one should expect this amount to be repaid within the space of a century. The only solution that seems feasible now is its unstoppable per-financing, although in the long term this solution is not sustainable, since it has …
The Eurozone/EU Economy for the forthcoming Decade (2021-2030)
The Eurozone & EU economy equally is expected to start recovering by the end of Q3 2021. But until then the economies of the euro area member countries will be characterized by high budget deficits in their annual government budgets, by high public debts (in some euro area member countries general government debt will exceed …