Despite the shockwaves caused by Trump’s tariffs, the headlines – as usual – are wrong about the causes of the market volatility and the implications that lie ahead. Understanding how to navigate such market pressures, the historical reality of debt, the role of gold and – most crucially – the significance of a liquidity crisis …
Category: PUBLICATIONS
Great Britain faces a serious debt crisis due to tariffs and deficits
Donald Trump’s trade war and the country’s dire fiscal position risk plunging Britain into a Greek-style debt crisis, investors have warned. Weaker economic output combined with the Treasury’s negative fiscal data are exposing Britain to a “negative growth spiral”. Britain’s £2.7 trillion debt, which exceeds the size of the economy, leaves it vulnerable to the …
Trump kills the “hard” dollar with tariffs & regains US economic dominance
The roots of the US economic hardship are found in the dollar, the head of the “wise men” of Donald Trump’s government, Stephen Miran, found in a study he wrote in November 2024 (“A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System“) and which is the guide to Trump’s economic policy regarding international trade/tariffs and …
Trump tariffs will cause an unprecedented global crisis
A major slowdown in global growth is expected to be caused by US President Trump’s impending “tariff wall”. The recession will start with a dollar liquidity crisis in China and end with a crash in the US, as funding pressures circulate through the global banking system. Because China runs a large trade surplus with the …
US will issue 100-year T-bonds with gold to become their lifeline
Donald Trump’s economic policy aims to reduce US trade deficits with third countries and relocate the production base to the United States. At the same time, he has to deal with a monstrous public debt that has exceeded 36 trillion dollars and interest payments have exceeded defense spending for the first time! A tool for …
USA: Buy Bitcoin and create a reserve with profits from the appreciation of the value of gold
The inclusion of the leading cryptocurrency is a priority for the Trump administration as, through the creation of a reserve in the leading cryptocurrency, it wants to mitigate the strength of the dollar that is causing problems in the US trade balance, without at the same time losing its global reserve status. At the same …
The transformation of the EU economy into a war economy will operate its defence industry as the EU’s economic lifeline
The big question for Europe’s economic development is to minimize or even eliminate the distance that separates it from the digital and technological level at which the USA and China are located. It is characteristic that in most technological conferences around the world, it is heard that “in a world that innovates, Europe legislates”. And …
Debt restructuring using tariffs is a risk for the dollar
The successful Plaza Accord of the 1985s is now apparently serving as inspiration for the administration of US President Donald Trump, as it seeks ways to weaken the dollar with the ultimate goal of improving America’s trade balance. While at the same time not wanting to weaken the dollar’s power as a reserve currency. Donald …
Gold is a formidable monetary weapon – the mysteries of Fort Knox and China
One of the most significant long-term effects of this War in Ukraine, regardless of when a peaceful settlement is reached, will be on gold and the dollar. That is, in the realm of an ongoing currency war. When Russia launched its military operation in Ukraine, it overlooked the fact that its central bank had about …
US debt is unsustainable – at 200% if tax cuts become permanent
The US debt is the enduring nightmare of Donald Trump’s economic policy… His presidency, after all, will be judged by whether he deals with it in a credible way. The independent Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has estimated the impact of making the tax cuts permanent. It found that US government-issued debt could soar above 200% …