The impasse in the world’s largest economy is obvious and worsening, especially with public debt reaching the $28 trillion zone. The only solution on the horizon to maintain creditworthiness is monetary expansion (in technical terms: debt monetization). In order to understand these unusual developments, we need to see what the Federal Reserve’s scope for action …
Category: Economics
FED: New interest rate cut to 3.75% to 4% range, end to quantitative tightening
The US central bank, with its recent decision, is attempting to avoid a liquidity shortage that could be caused by excessive withdrawal of reserves from the banking system. The Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the second consecutive meeting, bringing policy rates to their lowest range since 2022, between 3.75% …
Inflation is slowly and painfully killing the middle-income class
In a speech in July, Harvard University professor Gregory Mankiw laid out with brutal honesty what needs to happen to end the unsustainable accumulation of debt in the United States. The options are five: Logic dictates that some combination of these will be inevitable. These potential solutions are common throughout the developed world. Through a …
The subprime monster returns: The American economy is cracking, a new bomb explodes
In a stark warning to markets, Trust Economics warns that a subprime crisis — especially among the lower-income classes in the US — is brewing beneath the surface of a seemingly stable economy and market euphoria. Trust Economics Chief Economist Thanos Chonthrogiannis points out that these cracks in the credit system are significant, but not …
Historical record in stock investments – Half of Americans’ savings, at $30 trillion, in the “bubble”
A huge disaster looms ahead as the Wall Street bubble is poised to burst: Americans now have more money invested in stocks than ever before, according to Federal Reserve data. At the same time, the consumption that drives the economy’s growth is being driven by the top 10% of households, who account for just under …
US: Middle class will disappear – Warning of Subprime 2.0 crash
The U.S. economy appears to be sailing on calm waters, with low unemployment and stable markets, but the apparent stability hides a dangerous truth. Beneath the surface, the middle class is facing intense pressure, savings are shrinking, and households are increasingly dependent on payday loans and other forms of high-cost financing. The signs are worrying: …
Gold buying frenzy is reshaping global foreign exchange reserves
A historic gold buying spree by central banks is reshaping global foreign exchange reserves, signaling a broader shift away from the dollar amid growing geopolitical and economic uncertainty. Silent inventory reallocation Central banks buy more than 1,000 metric tons of gold annually, with much of that buying unreported. Heightened fears of the dollar being weaponized, …
The Gold frenzy heralds the Great collapse
Since ancient times, philosophers have used the image of the circle to illustrate the great question of life: only by seeing the circle fully can you understand its arcs — and vice versa. The same is true for the global economy, which now appears to be collapsing systemically, through specific phases and crisis points called …
US: Strategic advantage in negotiations is shrinking
US President Donald Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs amount to a unilateral, self-defeating, and completely unjustified challenge to the international order—a challenge without any economic justification. As Willem H. Buiter demonstrated in 1981, the kinds of trade imbalances that Trump blindly condemns are a useful mechanism that allows economies with different time preferences to benefit from trade …
Mammoth Debt $36.2 Trillion – Unbridled Deficits and the Triffin Dilemma
The US public debt has exceeded $36.2 trillion or 35% of global GDP, which is estimated at just over $100 trillion – while the budget deficit that will be added to the debt is predicted by the CRFB to be $22.7 trillion by 2035. The number one problem of the US, however, is its current …