The European Commission’s study on the sustainability of the debt of its member states (Debt Sustainability Monitor 2025) predicts for Greece that its public debt will remain more than double the Maastricht limit of 60% in the medium term (at 124% of GDP in 2036). In essence, the current Greek governments are implementing a political …
Category: Proposed Fiscal Policies
fiscal analysis
How can a country (i.e. USA) with huge debt be saved by restarting its Economy without causing Social chaos?
What is the invisible foundation of the narrative about the depreciation of the US dollar? Let us recall that it is a key goal of the Trump 2.0 administration to address the fiscal derailment and the persistent trade deficits. The Winners and the Losers This leads to the following reasoning: if those who hold the …
The Miracle of the Polish Economy without the Euro
Poland’s economy surpassed $1 trillion last year, capping decades of dynamic growth that contrasts sharply with the fragile economies of its much larger European neighbors, such as Germany or France. The milestone, confirmed by data released by the country’s statistics office on Friday (January 30), likely put Poland among the world’s top 20 economies by …
The U.S. is not “investable” – The withdrawal of funds from Scandinavia, and the Debt avalanche
At the World Economic Forum in Davos, President Donald Trump said out loud what normally goes unsaid, and in doing so, revealed a deep and dangerous vulnerability that the entire system has been trying to hide. Specifically, in an interview with Fox Business’s Maria Bartiromo, when asked about the possibility that European countries might respond …
Venezuela: How does the richest country in Latin America have poor residents?
As 2026 finds the country at a historic turning point, following recent political upheavals and the uncertainty of the transition, the data reveals a harsh reality. Venezuela today is not just a state in crisis. It is a country in a dead end. A country that sits on the planet’s largest energy treasure, yet is …
Mercosur: What is and what does the agreement with the EU mean?
The agreement between Mercosur and the European Union is causing strong reactions from representatives of the primary production sector. The agreement between Mercosur and the European Union was voted on, which all representatives of the primary production sector opposed. But what is Mercosur and why are farmers and livestock farmers reacting? What is Mercosur? Mercosur …
The Dangers of the Huge Stimulus Packages Coming to the US and Eurozone
Both the US and European economies are preparing to receive strong fiscal and monetary stimulus packages, without even being in recession, as is traditionally the case when such stimulus packages are implemented in the economy. Trust Economics specifically refers to the following stimulus packages: Markets are already reacting… In the past two weeks, markets have …
China’s Real Estate – A $18.9 Trillion Debt Bomb at the Foundation of the Global Economy
China is facing the most serious economic challenge in its modern history, as the ongoing collapse of the real estate market has triggered an unprecedented debt crisis, exposing the fragile foundations on which the “Chinese miracle” was built. Today, the debts of local governments and their financing vehicles (LGFVs) have soared to 134 trillion yuan, …
China is the leading shadow lender to the Developed Economies
A report released Tuesday, November 18, 2025, by the AidData research arm of the University of William & Mary in Williamsburg, Virginia, comes to the startling conclusion that the United States is the largest recipient of loans from China. The report, titled “Chasing China: Learning to Play by Beijing’s Global Lending Rules“, found that 1,193 …
Will Japan become the next center of a global debt crisis?
The sell-off in Japanese bonds is a warning to global economies. As yields – particularly at longer maturities – soar and demand collapses, Japan is becoming a case study in what happens when investors lose patience with huge deficits and debt. Japan’s government bond market is currently facing an existential crisis, marked by a sharp …