Black Monday, August 5th was a powerful reminder to investors that the stock markets don’t just… go up, they sometimes go down. It wasn’t the end of the world. Wall Street’s 3.0% drop on a daily basis is a big deal, but it doesn’t compare to October 1929, when the stock market fell 21% in …
Category: US
proposed fiscal policies for US economies
Why does the imposition of tariffs create few jobs in the countries that impose them?
The US presidential contenders seem to agree on one thing: Both Donald Trump and Joe Biden have imposed high tariffs on imported goods made in China and other countries. These kinds of protectionist policies are a departure from the policies of the previous half century that favored “free trade” (less or minimal government intervention in …
Trump Presidency 2.0: The Dollar will be sacrificed to deal with the huge Public Debt
The US must abandon its “mammoth deficits” if it is to keep US debt levels manageable for decades to come. The over-indebted US economy can no longer bear, in the context of geopolitical realignments, to support the “excessive monetary privilege” of the dollar, and in order for the new presidency of Donald Trump not to …
After Inflation, the beginning of Recession or Stagflation?
The inflation phenomenon continues to weaken recently (at 2.5% in June in the Eurozone) although as has been emphasized several times this does not mean that prices are falling. Accuracy remains a “noose” for incomes, a condition that can lead to a parallel weakening of economic activity and investment and ultimately to recession. The odds …
The FED is sacrificing inflation to keep the bond market from collapsing
The US Federal Reserve is in a race to prevent an imminent collapse in the US government bond market. High US debt yields are artificially kept at these levels as the Fed maintains demand by increasing the money supply in the economy – that is, by printing dollars and trying to control the bond yield …
How do Governments cause Inflation and pretend they are fighting the high Cost of living?
In the present analysis, we will show the way in which governments cause inflation and pretend to fight for accuracy. The new announcement of a 2.8% increase in the core personal spending index in the US, the Fed’s preferred measure, gives us the trigger to proceed with the downward analysis. This is the key indicator …
Excessive Public Debt is killing the Middle Income class – the “lifeblood” of Consumption
Every promise by politicians to increase public spending – and especially those concerning social transfers – resonates positively with voters. These promises may win elections, but what voters themselves should be asking is: Who pays the bill? The common narrative in the US that the debt is unsustainable which has a life of 40 years …
Weak development and the Global financial system with multiple problems
After the great financial crisis of 2007 – 2008, regulatory authorities, worldwide, are engaged in continuous efforts to remove, in every way, financial risks. However, mistakes on their part are not lacking. A typical example is the crisis of regional banks in the USA, which was triggered by Silicon Valley Bank, which until that time …
The mistakes of the US Federal Reserve may trigger a new wave of inflation
The mistakes of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which seems to be acting as an “extension” of the fiscal policy of the Democrats and the Joe Biden administration, will lead to an even greater erosion of the purchasing power of citizens through a spike in inflation. 1. The Bernanke-led Fed began quantitative easing just three …
A new moment is brewing for the US economy and the world
After nearly 15 years of cheap money fed by the Federal Reserve at zero interest rates, resulting in speculative bubbles of colossal proportions, it seems the lights have come on. A crisis in financial markets (especially credit markets) can be caused by a sudden and systemic collapse in asset prices – usually after a prolonged …